Wednesday, June 11, 2025

List of states by partisanship 2024

Using the results of the previous 5 presidential elections (2008-2024), I have ranked the states according to the percentage difference between Democrats and Republicans. States that have alternated between the two parties over the past 5 elections will have lower rankings.

1) Wyoming 41.7%
2) Hawaii 34.55%
3) Oklahoma 33.71%
4) Vermont 33.1%
5) West Virginia 32.55%
6) Idaho 31.27%
7) Maryland 27.94%
8) Utah 27.27%
9) Massachusetts 26.96%
10) North Dakota 26.76%
11) Arkansas 25.75%
12) Alabama 25.48%
13) California 25.32%
14) Kentucky 25.05%
15) Tennessee 22.88%
16) New York 22.65%
17) South Dakota 22.31%
18) Rhode Island 21.07%
19) Nebraska 20.25%
20) Louisiana 19.22%
21) Delaware 17.73%
22) Kansas 17.61%
23) Connecticut 17.58%
24) Illinois 17.39%
25) Washington 17.03%
26) Mississippi 16.39%
27) Alaska 14.69%
28) Montana 14.53%
29) Oregon 13.96%
30) New Jersey 13.86%
31) Indiana 12.67%
32) South Carolina 12.65%
33) Missouri 12.39%
34) Texas 11.16%
35) Maine 10.32%
36) New Mexico 10.06%
37) Colorado 8.74%
38) Virginia 6.28%
39) Minnesota 6.16%
40) Michigan 5.42%
41) Arizona 5.27%
42) New Hampshire 5.14%
43) Nevada 4.18%
44) Georgia 4.02%
45) Wisconsin 3.97%
46) Ohio 3.96%
47) Iowa 3.09%
48) Pennsylvania 2.89%
49) Florida 2.79%
50) North Carolina 1.99%

This is how their rankings have changed since the 2016 election:

No change: Alabama, Connecticut, Florida, Indiana, Mississippi, Wyoming
Up 1: Iowa, Kentucky, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Dakota
Down 1: New Jersey
Up 2: Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, Vermont
Down 2: Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, South Carolina, Wisconsin
Up 3: Hawaii, Missouri, New Mexico
Down 3: Idaho
Down 4: Arizona
Up 6: California, Maryland, Oregon
Down 6: Kansas, New York, Pennsylvania, Utah
Up 7: Delaware, Louisiana, Washington
Down 7: Montana
Up 9: Arkansas, Colorado
Down 9: Rhode Island
Up 10: Tennessee
Down 10: Georgia, North Carolina, Texas
Down 11: Nebraska
Up 12: Virginia, West Virginia
Down 13: Alaska

This is how their rankings have changed since the 2020 election:

No change: California, Florida, Indiana, Kentucky, Mississippi, Montana, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, South Carolina, Wyoming
Up 1: Connecticut, Louisiana, Minnesota, South Dakota
Down 1: Alabama, Idaho, Maine, New Jersey, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Wisconsin
Up 2: Hawaii, Missouri, Ohio, Vermont, Washington
Down 2: Arizona, Illinois, Kansas, Massachusetts, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island
Up 3: Iowa, Maryland, West Virginia
Up 4: Colorado, Delaware, Oregon, Tennessee
Down 4: Alaska, Nebraska, New York, Texas
Down 5: North Carolina, Utah
Up 6: Arkansas
Down 7: Georgia
Up 9: Virginia